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☆ The White House plan to sell Bidenomics: Hit the road, ignore the polls
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Christina Wilkie | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

US President Joe Biden speaks about his economic plan "Bidenomics" at the Philly Shipyard, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on July 20, 2023. But the choreographed excitement and stagecraft on display in Philadelphia belied a different sentiment among voters about what's been dubbed "Bidenomics." "Together we are transforming the country, not just through jobs, not just through manufacturing, but also by rebuilding our infrastructure," Biden told a crowd of hardhat-wearing union workers who stood atop steel beams three storeys high. We've got a long way to go on the economy," Biden told the shipbuilders. "I'm here to say we have more work to do, but we have a plan that's turning things around pretty quickly."

Persons: Joe Biden, what's, I've, Biden, Patrick Murray, it's, Biden hasn't, Jennifer Granholm, Xavier Becerra, Jill Biden, We've Organizations: Philly Shipyard, CNBC, America Economic Survey, Monmouth University, Biden, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Energy, Human Services, Citigroup Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, America, Philly, U.S, Monmouth, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio , Michigan, New York

☆ Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, a top GOP Trump critic, files paperwork to launch 2024 presidential campaign
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. Republican presidential candidate and New Jersey governor Chris Christie speaks during the Heritage Action for America presidential candidate forum in Greenville, South Carolina on September 18, 2015. But while much of the GOP establishment softened its stance on Trump in the ensuing months, Christie kept up his criticism. "You better have somebody on that stage who will do to him what I did to Marco, because that's the only thing that's going to defeat Donald Trump," Christie said in March. Ron DeSantis officially joined the Republican primary race, becoming the top non-Trump contender. Allies of the former New Jersey governor recently launched a super PAC, Tell It Like It Is, to support his run for president.

Persons: Chris Christie, Christie, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, president's, Vladimir, Putin, Sen, Marco Rubio, Marco, It's, Ron DeSantis, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, Sandy, Barack Obama's, George Washington, Christie's, Phil Murphy Organizations: Republican, New, America, Former New Jersey Gov, Trump, U.S, Capitol, GOP, CNN, Monmouth University, Florida Gov, South, Allies, Democratic Gov, ABC News Locations: New Jersey, Greenville , South Carolina, Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, South Carolina, New York

☆ Trump has already shattered the lead DeSantis seemingly held in polling: Monmouth
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis led all listed Republican candidates in a Monmouth University poll. New polling from Monmouth University shows that Trump now leads the governor by 24 percentage points. Ron DeSantis in polling in recent months, shattering the lead held by the leader of the Sunshine State, according to a recent Monmouth University poll. In December 2022, DeSantis was the leading candidate among Republican and Republican-leaning respondents to Monmouth University's poll, drawing in 39% support to Trump's 26%. While DeSantis took his time to announce his run for president, Trump picked up a bevy of GOP endorsements including more than 50 representatives, 11 senators, and two governors.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald Trump's, Trump, —, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, David Sacks, FiveThirtyEight, who've, Byron Donalds, Doug Steube Organizations: Florida Gov, Monmouth University, Service, Sunshine State, Elon, GOP, Republican, Trump, DeSantis, Rep, Representatives, Disney Locations: Florida, Monmouth

☆ Ron DeSantis has a ‘lovability’ problem
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-28 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

DeSantis, himself, has a bit of a “lovability” problem among Republican voters. The key to differentiate yourself in a primary is to be beloved (i.e., have a high strongly favorable rating). Back in December, 40% of Republican voters in a Fox News poll had a strongly favorable opinion of the Florida governor. Last month, the same poll found DeSantis’ share of strongly favorable support dropping to 33%. An ABC News/Washington Post poll released earlier this month found that 68% of Republican voters would be satisfied if DeSantis were the nominee.

☆ Republican hopefuls to court evangelical vote in Iowa
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-22 | by ( Nathan Layne | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

CLIVE, Iowa, April 22 (Reuters) - Republican presidential hopefuls will make their pitch to evangelical voters in Iowa on Saturday, the first major event for candidates to court the key conservative voting bloc in a state set to hold the party's first nominating contest in early 2024. It will be headlined by former Vice President Mike Pence, a devout evangelical who may soon launch a presidential bid, and U.S. Iowa is slated to hold the first-in-the-nation Republican caucus in early 2024. Strong evangelical support early on in the nominating process could help give a challenger a chance to strike a blow against Trump, who won three-fourths of the white evangelical vote nationally in 2020. Trump won 76% of the white evangelical vote in 2020, down from 80% in 2016, according to Edison Research exit polls.

Trump won 76% of the white evangelical vote in 2020, down from 80% in 2016, according to Edison Research exit polls. In a March poll, Trump edged DeSantis among evangelicals in a two-way matchup 51% to 42%, a nine-point improvement for Trump from the month before. The gathering is traditionally an important stop for Republican presidential candidates, although this year DeSantis, who was invited, will not be going. Vander Plaats said evangelicals will consider whether Trump can prevail next year after losing the 2020 election to President Joe Biden. “I don’t think President Trump is a principled man -- I think he was a great president,” Ascol said.

☆ Dominion’s case against Fox News goes to trial next week. Is the First Amendment really on the line?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-16 | by ( Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +21 min

But even by the standards of the profession, the language in Dominion's $1.6 billion lawsuit against Fox News has been downright apocalyptic. A victory for Dominion against Fox, they say, could wreak havoc for other journalism organizations across the country. The sheer closeness between Trump and Fox News makes a case like this unlikely to harm journalism organizations down the line, Goodale said. The vast majority of defamation cases against media organizations are settled, which gives few high-profile precedents to the Dominion lawsuit. "And that's the balance that the Sullivan court strike tried to strike in 1964.

☆ Tim Scott is the most intriguing GOP presidential hopeful most Republicans haven't heard of
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Warren Rojas | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott is far from well-known by Republican voters. But if he runs for president, Scott would be well positioned to break out if either Trump or DeSantis falter. "I hope he is considering jumping into the race," Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst recently told Insider while on her way back to her Senate office. But more than just his colleagues, Republican voters may also be just as effusive. It's difficult to find polling on Scott's national favorability, but a recent Monmouth University poll of self-identified Republican voters showed significant promise.

☆ Mike Pence gambled his career to become Trump's successor. Now he can't even find a lane to compete against his former boss.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-01 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Mike Pence gambled his future to become President Donald Trump's running mate and vice president. Two years after leaving office, it appears all for naught, as he can't seem to find a lane to compete against his former boss. This, in part, led to some Trump supporters storming the Capitol whilst chanting "hang Mike Pence." But despite this, Monmouth University polling from March 2023 shows him lagging behind other prospective candidates, like DeSantis and Trump, in favorability polls among evangelical Republicans. According to Morning Consult's surveying, Pence once again received the second-most "unfavorable" polling behind only former Rep. Liz Cheney.

☆ You can run for president from prison. Here's what happened when 2 candidates campaigned from behind bars.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Two previous candidates, Eugene V. Debs in 1920, and Lyndon LaRouche in 1992, both ran from prison. If Trump is convicted, it's possible he could run for president from behind bars. Socialist Eugene V. Debs ran from behind bars over 100 years agoThe socialist party 1904 Eugene V. Debs and Ben Hanford. HUM Images/Universal Images Group via Getty ImagesIn 1920, Socialist Eugene V. Debs ran for the Oval Office from the Atlanta Federal Penitentiary, where he was known as "prisoner 9653," according to Smithsonian Magazine. Alex Brandon/File/APWhile Debs and LaRouche were both unsuccessful in their campaigns, they both were still able to run for president while behind bars.

☆ Trump is surging in 2024 polls ahead of a possible indictment: Monmouth University poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Prior to news of a possible indictment, a poll showed support for former President Trump's 2024 run was surging. 41% of GOP respondents in the Monmouth University poll wanted Trump as the 2024 Republican nominee. According to the poll, when Republican respondents were asked who they'd like to see as the Republican nominee in 2024, 41% said Trump compared to 27% for Florida Gov. Monmouth University's not the only pollster showing Trump in the lead — a recent Morning Consult survey showed that 54% of potential GOP primary voters said they'd support Trump in the runup to the election. And despite a looming possible indictment, there isn't a lot of evidence that support for Trump will dwindle.

☆ Only 9% of Americans think AI development will do more good than harm
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

46% of respondents think that AI development will do about the same amount of good and harm, and 41% of people in the sample believe that the technology will ultimately do harm to society overall. Large language models are increasingly being used in generative AI tools, like ChatGPT or Google's unreleased Bard, which can spit out blocks of text. But there have been issues with large language models, which can simply make information up, a phenomenon known as "hallucinating." Both Google and Microsoft's recent AI launches showed their software making factual errors. Some artificial intelligence algorithms can be used for facial recognition, for example, to identify people who attend sporting events.

Ron DeSantis lead an early — and still incomplete — Republican presidential field, according to a new national Monmouth University poll released Thursday. Asked whom they’d like to see as the GOP’s presidential nominee, 33% of Republican voters answered Trump and another 33% picked DeSantis. But the contest is closer among respondents who identify as strong Republicans (DeSantis 49%, Trump 46%) and among evangelical Republicans (DeSantis 51%, Trump 44%). The worst favorable/unfavorable ratings among Republican voters were for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (23%-53%) and embattled freshman Rep. George Santos, R-N.Y., (12%-42%). The Monmouth University poll was conducted Jan. 26 to Feb. 2 of 566 registered Republican voters, and it has a margin of error of plus-minus 6.1 percentage points.

☆ GOP voters pick DeSantis over Trump in hypothetical head-to-head matchup for 2024 presidential nomination, poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis would beat former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup for the 2024 Republican nomination, GOP voters said in a new poll released Thursday. That hype was echoed in the survey from Monmouth University: In a hypothetical head-to-head fight, 53% of Republican voters said they would pick DeSantis, versus 40% for Trump. "An overwhelming majority of polls show President Trump with significant and dominant leads both nationally and statewide," Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said in a statement to CNBC. Cheung also pointed to a series of other recent poll results showing Trump leading the prospective GOP field by double digits. Trump still holds major sway over the Republican Party, more than two years after losing his reelection bid to President Joe Biden.

WASHINGTON, Feb 7 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden will face Republicans who question his legitimacy and a public concerned about the country's direction in Tuesday's State of the Union speech that is expected to serve as a blueprint for a 2024 re-election bid. Biden's public approval rating edged one percentage point higher to 41% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Sunday. Reforms in policing will loom large in Biden's speech after the death of Tyre Nichols, a Black man fatally beaten by officers in Memphis, Tennessee last month, with his mother and stepfather to be guests of first lady Jill Biden. He will also run through a wish list of economic proposals, many of which are unlikely to be passed through Congress, the White House said. [1/3] The U.S. Capitol building is seen on the day of U.S. President Joe Biden's State of the Union Address to a joint session of Congress on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., February 7, 2023.

REUTERS/Elizabeth FrantzWASHINGTON, Feb 7 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden will face Republicans who question his legitimacy and a public concerned about the country's direction in Tuesday's State of the Union speech that is expected to serve as a blueprint for a 2024 re-election bid. Biden would urge lawmakers to "build on these historic bipartisan achievements" to improve the lives of Americans, Christen Linke Young, deputy assistant to Biden for health and veterans affairs, told reporters. He will also run through a wish list of economic proposals, many of which are unlikely to be passed through Congress, the White House said. They include a minimum tax for billionaires, and a quadrupling of the tax on corporate stock buybacks. Speaker Kevin McCarthy will sit behind Biden for the address for the first time.

Biden turned 80 in November and, if re-elected, would be 82 at the start of a second term, a fact that concerns many Democratic voters, recent polls show. Speaker Kevin McCarthy will sit behind Biden for the address for the first time. The two are at loggerheads over the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling, which must raised in the coming months to avoid a default. Biden will insist during his speech that raising the debt limit is not negotiable and should not be used as a "bargaining chip" by lawmakers, National Economic Council director Brian Deese said Monday. While the U.S. economy continues to outperform expectations, faith in Biden is undermined by entrenched political divisions, high prices and concerns over his age, polls show.

WisconsinDemocrats see Republican Sen. Ron Johnson as a vulnerable incumbent. Barnes has espoused progressive views in office, but his Senate campaign has focused more on pocketbook issues such as inflation and taxes. Vance appears locked in a tight Senate race against Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan, despite running in a red-leaning state that Trump won handily in 2020. Incumbent Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan's approval ratings have fallen, including among unaffiliated voters who make up a major chunk of the state's electorate. FloridaFormer Orlando police chief and Democratic Rep. Val Demings aims to unseat incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio.

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